We live in the NJ 7th Congressional District represented by Republican Congressman Leonard Lance. The district stretches from the 'Jersey Girl part of the state - old post war highways, shopping centers and houses like viewers would see in the Sopranos - through the more leafy central suburbs (where we live) to the rural PA border.
We think Lance is pretty much a wanker but his seat is usually safe.
This year, given that New Jersey is a Blue state the Dems have targeted Lance.
To that end we have some interesting poll data.* Here Trump enjoys a 50% approval rating and Lance as a 44/30 favorable rating.
The Dems ain't knocking off old Lenny, not with those numbers.
There will be no blue wave.
*These people actually called us but we hung up on them.