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Sunday, June 17, 2018

There will be no Blue Wave.

An interesting and tough Senate race in Florida this year, where governor Rick Scott is challenging incumbent Democrat Bill Nelson.  These are two giants of Florida politics and the race should be a titanic clash.

Rick Scott may turn the race into a rout. 

Via Politico we learn of Scott's impressive efforts within Florida's Hispanic community. Scott speaks Spanish, does weekly interviews with Spanish language media, has a Spanish language website, etc, etc. Most interestingly:
There’s a lot higher awareness of Rick Scott. He’s got much higher name recognition. And people associate him with trying to do something for Puerto Rico,” said Marcos Vilar, director for United for Progress PAC, which had the focus groups conducted for it by the polling firm Latino Decisions.

Bill Nelson has very little name recognition,” Vilar said. “The people who know him don’t know what he’s done. They don’t know him in the community. They don’t see him out to the community as much.
We thought this seat would be a tough pickup for the GOP. Nelson has been around a long time and is well thought of and supposedly a conservative Democrat*. 

So we went over to RCP and checked out their Florida polls. Sure enough the last two senate polls show Scott in the lead.

There will be no blue wave.

*We scoff at the idea.

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