Sunday, July 21, 2019

David Wasserman has a Fancy-Pants Media Gig and I Don't

A very interesting electoral analysis by David Wasserman that ultimately gets it wrong.

Wasserman argues that Trump could lose the popular vote by five million votes and still win the electoral college.

Wasserman is making the same mistake that all elite media types make in forecasting the GOP's demographic doom. They assume race is the determining factor and they assume the GOP is the party of the old and the white.

From 1994 and 2006 W and Rick Perry won between 34 and 49% of the Hispanic vote in Texas.

In 2004 W won 44% of the Hispanic vote nationwide.

In 2018 Senator Rick Scott won 49% of Florida's Hispanic vote.

The last time we looked Trump's approval among Hispanic voters was 49%. Because Hispanic Americans love being inundated by Illegal Aliens as much as Mexicans do.

Mexicans do not love being inundated by Illegal Aliens.

John B Judis and Ruy Teixera predicted the GOP's demographic doom in 2002. Who else remembers The Emerging Democratic Majority? E.J. Dionne has been writing the same dam book on the subject every five years. Has anyone read Dionne's They only look Dead from the late 90's? Yeah, me neither.

Older voters tend to vote Republican. This has been true for a century. All those kids at Woodstock in '69 voted for Reagan in '84. As one grows older one becomes more conservative, having a job, kids, mortgage, that sort of thing. These are economic not racial factors.

Being degenerate communists, Wassermann and the rest of these media types should understand that class, not race is the determining factor.

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