Trump, Effed or What?

This blog's official position is that the polls are crap.  D+9, you freaking kidding me? Here's MJ Sheppard, whose thinking mirrors this blog's. We've consulted some of you about this.

In an attempt to disprove our theory, here's what we've come up with. MAGA nation's enthusiasm is down. Trump is off his game. People are sick of Trump. People blame Trump for what's happening. A lot of insiders think Parscale and company don't know what they're doing (they point to a huge mail-in and absentee ballot deficit). This year it's the Trump people being overconfident, just like the Hillary people in 2016. Poll after poll shows the same thing, are they all wrong? 

In 2012 we insisted the partisan split would be even or perhaps D + 2. If it had been, we're talking President Mitt, who won Indy's by 5 points but it wasn't enough. The split was D+6 becuase Barry turned out every last vomit breathed skank to vote for him.

Our point is, we were wrong in 2012. Why can't we be wrong now?