Heat Morning, AC Afternoon

Good morning, Stroock's Books Monday people, and welcome to your New Jersey weather update.

Right now the heat is going but later the temps will hit 80 and we'll turn on our brand-new AC. Wish us luck.

Four days in a row at the gym. Today we rest. 

Victor Orban conceded defeat in Hungary. We shrug. Also we keep seeing the opposition described as 'center-right'. We shrug again. We dunno. Here's a profile of the new guy, Magyar. Could be a lot worse. Orban was in power for 16 years. You gotta go sometime. We await events. 

Does Orban's loss foreshadow Bibi's in Israel? Maybe (we uptalked that). Lots of interesting poll data here from Ynet. Nut-graph as the J-School losers would say, Israelis oppose Iran ceasefire.  And Israelis want to keep beating up Hezbollah too. Hell yeah. Finish it, Bibi.

Speaking of, the Times of Israel tells us that the IDF is clearing Bint Jbeil, Hezbollah's capital in south Lebanon. ToI reports the 98th Division is on the ground there. That means the Paratrooper and Commando brigades. Cool.

Also, The Jerusalem Post asks if Turkey is positioning itself to replace Iran. The answer is yes. Which is why Israel has been fostering relations with Cyprus and Greece. Those Jews. They're clever, as the imams say.

Stroock's Books renews its call to wrap things up and wind things down, gradually. 

[So how do you think the war is going, actually?-Ed]

Maybe we'll do a post on that tomorrow. 

[Okay, good. It seems your commentary has been somewhat restrained-Ed].

It has.

[Why?-Ed].

Well, 20 years ago 21 really, we assured ourselves that the press was wrong about the Iraq war and everything was fine. This was especially true after the Battle of Fallujah and the River War campaign that brought Anbar back under Coalition control. Even so, things were, in fact, not fine. In 2006 the Insurgency proved stubbornly resilient.  So we've held off on declaring victory or getting overly ebullient. 

DOGE Report,

Okay...Sometime yesterday we realized that we need a Contra/FDN set up chapter. We've written about several major Contra/FDN group commanders, Enrique Bermudez (head of the Contra/FDN military wing), Dimas, Tigrillo, Mike Lima, Quiche, real men with their real names. We've used these scenes to mention the Contra/FDN political element and reference Violetta Chamorro. We're pleased.

Let's go over the plan. Go look at Google maps...there we go. 

1-The Contras will hit the Nicaraguan border from Trojes in the center right down to Ocotal in the center-left, a space of about 90 miles. 

2- Pan American forces led by the Honduran army will attack down the flat country on the Pacific Coast toward Managua. They'll kick in the door and then hand the advance over to the Contras. Reminder, one should take the Honduran Army seriously. 

3-Contra forces advance southeast toward Managua under US air umbrella and naval support.

Objective: capture Sandinista leadership and the exiled Castro brothers. Install friendly government. 

More on the plan tomorrow.