Election day Cometh forsooth

I don't really have anything interesting to say on the matter or any special insight.

My sense is this: Mr. Trump peaked at the right time and then surged. He seems to have locked up Fl and OH, IA and NH and has Clinton fighting like mad for PA and MI. If Mr. Trump wins either state then its all over.

Facts:

Early voting totals, once thought to be one of Hillary!'s strengths, now look very good for Mr. Trump.

It seems Mr. Trump is getting about 19 percent of the black vote.

Mr. Trump seems to be doing no worse with Hispanics than Romney.

Via the IBD poll yesterday, it seems Mr. Trump has picked up a lot of female support (there's a joke in there someplace).

As in British parliamentary elections, the Brexit Vote and the Israeli elections, the press and pollsters have underestimated the conservative vote by a couple of points.

The Trump people are really, really motivated.

It is hard to replace the sitting president in your own party, ask Nixon or Algore.

Its a change election. Hillary isn't change.

The economy stinks.

Our foreign policy is a disaster.

At some point, people just want something new, and it doesn't matter how flowed the opposition candidate is. Just ask Bill Clinton.

For these reasons I think Mr. Trump win decently with no election night drama.

We'll see.