Thursday, April 9, 2020

Quarantine This

We haven't written much about the Wuhan China Virus overall because we like to deal with what we know. We think Trump is doing a fine job. We don't have an opinion about Dr. Fauci either way. We think the economy is going to have to get going a lot sooner than the quarantine fetishistic say. You're damn right we're skeptical.

This blog is generally satisfied with the March Quarantine. That is, it had to be done. But Enough. What more do these people want? You can't keep the economy shutdown for ever.

Also it looks like all those death models were wrong. 

We think the Quarantine should last through this month and we should begin phasing it out in the last week. That'll mean we've spent two to three months amassing what we need and figuring out how to treat the Wuhan Virus. 

We're generally optimistic about the economic future and think things will be bounding back this summer and autumn. See the idea of 'pent up demand.' For example, long time reader(s) know the Stroocks were planning another Eurotrip. Looks like we're getting the bathrooms redone instead. How many people are going to go out to dinner when the quarantine is lifted?

So in the long run we think we'll find we overestimated the find the quarantine worked, and things returned to normal a lot quicker than the doom mongers said.

Never trust an expert. Oh, and 'because people will die' isn't good enough.

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