Monday, June 13, 2016

In which life continues to imitate Israel Strikes

This piece from the Weekly Standard is just chilling:

Hezbollah has a nasty collection of more than 130,000 rockets, missiles, and mortars aimed at Israel. This is a bigger arsenal than all NATO countries (except the United States) combined. Why, a reasonable person might wonder, does Hezbollah need an offensive arsenal bigger than that of all Western Europe?
“You don't collect 130,000 missiles if you don't intend to use them," says Matthew Levitt, a counterterrorism expert at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. Hezbollah is a well-funded, violently anti-Israel terrorist organization based in Lebanon and a puppet of the Iranian regime.

I find this paragraph stunning:

The IDF no longer distinguishes between the sovereign nation of Lebanon and Hezbollah. Here's why: The terrorist group fully controls southern Lebanon, even to the point of limiting the movements of the Lebanese Army and also of the United Nations forces there. As well, Hezbollah holds significant positions in the Lebanese government and parliament. As such, Lebanon's infrastructure will likely be targeted. The IDF may well go after Lebanese bridges, airports, highways, and the electric grid, and IDF officials want Hezbollah to know this. Again, deterrence.

Ten years ago I read an article by the great Michael Totten called 'Anything can happen and any moment'. About Hezbollah in Lebanon, it was an eye opener for me. A few months later the Hezbollah War began.

In the piece the Israelis are acknowledging several things. The war will be bloody. The Israeli military will take heavy casualties. On the news will be images of smoldering tanks, charred aircraft wreckage, sinking ships. Israeli territory will be violated. Hundreds of Israeli civilians will be killed. Lebanon is toast.

One of the interesting things about this article is the Israeli attitude. They've stopped caring about Lebanon and the Lebanese. Ten years ago the Israelis were trying to support the Lebanese government, they wanted Beirut to stand up to Hezbollah. No longer. When Hezbollah launches rockets from a school, that school will soon be rubble.

When the war breaks out, and it will, this time the gloves are off.

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