Sunday, July 31, 2016

Hilary! has a tough hill to climb

Don't believe the hype. Mr. Trump is in great shape. I say that as someone who would have accepted almost anyone over him. Down to the convention I was hoping for some kind of coup that would make John Kasich the nominee.

Mr. Trump has clearly tapped into something here. He's even gotten me to reexamine some of my beliefs vis a vis trade, etc. With the sainted minority vote he polls no worse that Romney and McCain. I think he'll do a bit better.

What's more interesting, really is everything Hillary! has to overcome.

One of my rules on presidential elections is the candidate only gets one chance. If you miss it, too bad. 1988 was Bob Dole's year. He blew it. 2000 was my man, John Wayne McCain's year. He blew that. Both lost handily in 1996 and 2006, respectively. Sorry, Hillary! but 2008 was your year and you messed it up.

Hillary! is playing defense. Mr. Trump is expanding the map. I saw a poll that showed Hillary! only get 47% of the vote in NY state. Think about THAT for a moment. Now, she'll win the state, don't you worry. But she's going to have to spend time and effort to do it. Also, if Chris Christie can win NJ, why not Mr. Trump? Mr. Trump is on the offense in PA. Mr. Trump is trolling for new voters, while Hillary! is struggling to keep hers.

Hillary! is also trying to do something that is very hard to do. That is replace a two term president of the same party. Just ask Richard Nixon, the sitting VP who lost in 1960, or Algore, the evil megalomaniac sitting VP in 2000. Heck, ask John McCain. Its but done twice, Martin Van Buren in 1836 and Bush the Elder in 1988.

Lastly, and maybe more importantly, Hillary! is an awful, awful candidate. Do we really need to go over this again? That voice, that personality, her complete lack of fixed belief....

Of course all these means we're looking at President Trump.

What the hell, America. What the hell...

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