Wednesday, December 4, 2019

London is British for California

Guido Fawkes has the latest new round up and Limey polls . Do click over.
KantarTNS: CON: 44% (+1) LAB: 32% (-) LDEM: 15% (+1) BREX: 2% (-1)
ICMResearch: CON: 42% (+1) LAB: 35% (+1) LDEM: 13% (-) BREX: 3% (-1)
YouGov – London: LAB: 47% (+8) CON: 30% (+1) LDEM: 15% (-4) BREX: 3% (-3)
The Tories are rising but so is Labour as voters left and right come home. Check out that bottom poll of London exclusively. The city looks like California on the Thames and is having a similar affect. Labour's support is concentrated in small pockets throughout the country, giving them super-majorities of voters in select seats. The seats they'll win, they'll really win, but it won't be enough. Just like the Democrats and with similar consequences. Hillary won California by three million votes but badly  lost the Electoral College.

We'll see if Stroock's Law, whereby pollsters are underestimating conservatives, still holds.

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