London is British for California

Guido Fawkes has the latest new round up and Limey polls . Do click over.

KantarTNS: CON: 44% (+1) LAB: 32% (-) LDEM: 15% (+1) BREX: 2% (-1)
ICMResearch: CON: 42% (+1) LAB: 35% (+1) LDEM: 13% (-) BREX: 3% (-1)
YouGov – London: LAB: 47% (+8) CON: 30% (+1) LDEM: 15% (-4) BREX: 3% (-3)

The Tories are rising but so is Labour as voters left and right come home. Check out that bottom poll of London exclusively. The city looks like California on the Thames and is having a similar affect. Labour's support is concentrated in small pockets throughout the country, giving them super-majorities of voters in select seats. The seats they'll win, they'll really win, but it won't be enough. Just like the Democrats and with similar consequences. Hillary won California by three million votes but badly  lost the Electoral College.

We'll see if Stroock's Law, whereby pollsters are underestimating conservatives, still holds.

Spend This

Guido Fawkes points out that the urbanite hipster-elite Change UK Party massively outspent the Brexit Party....and still didn't win a seat in the EU elections.

Money isn't everything guys. In fact it doesn't matter as much as the left thinks.

In the 90's Ross Perot and Steve Forbes both spent millions of their own money and lost.

Here in New Jersey, millionaire Doug Forrester spent tens of millions trying to win the governor's mansion and then a senate seat. Nada.

Hillary outspent Trump 2-1. Who won?

The Brexit Party is one, big popular idea. What the hell is Change UK even supposed to be?

In another life Nigel Farage could have been a hell of an ad man, a Don Draper or dare we say, Nick Naylor.

Circumstances. Ideas. Candidates.