Fun with Polls...

...Or, these people are fucking nuts*:

New NBC/WSJ national Dem WH poll

Sanders 27%
Biden 26%
Warren 15%
Bloomberg 9%
Buttigieg 7%
Klobuchar 5%
Yang 4%
Steyer 2%
Gabbard 2%
Patrick 1%

— Steve Kornacki (@SteveKornacki) January 31, 2020

At this point we guess the important question is where does Biden's support go once he joins Bernie Sanders in having some kind of serious medical event. This blog is betting on a stroke. Needlessly snarky? Sure. Mean? Ok. Possible? The wise observer would put the chances of Ugly Kid Joe stroking out at one in three. One in three are the chances of a brokered convention. These are also the chances Hillary! is the nominee. In her own words she 'feels the urge'.

For 20 years the Dems have been telling themselves that demography is destiny and it is their destiny to be America's natural ruling party for the next generation. Instead they're gonna nominate some aging white geezer with health issues. In 2020 if your candidate has vague memories of the Second World War, they're too old.

*Said in exactly the same tone and cadence as Inspector Gadget's 'This message will self destruct'.

Never say Never, Never say Hillary!

When we saw this we assumed it was an old piece:

Hillary Clinton says she is “deluged” with requests to try another run for president and has still not completely ruled out joining the crowded field of 2020 Democrat candidates. The former U.S. Secretary of State has repeatedly avoided categorically stepping out of the race for the White House – or directly into it, for that matter.... “As I say, never, never, never say never.”

That article is from yesterday and she said 'never' last Friday.

Holy God she means it. 

In December of 2016 this blog predicted Hillary! would try to run for president again but she would die before she got the chance. So far we're right on the former. There's still time for the latter.

Given the current state of the Democrat race this is so unbelievably plausible it is unbelievable. Oh my god, we literally can't even. Literally.

Will's Latest bit of Collusion

Over at Inforos, my latest on the Democrats and Hillary:

For a generation, American political reformers have been obsessed with the idea of ‘money in politics.’ According to reformers, political organizations that bundle money and donate it to campaigns are corrupting politicians. So, the theories go, campaign finance reform would ‘get the money’ out of politics so politicians wouldn’t be bound to special interest groups and be free to vote their conscience. In this case, politicians voting their conscience coincides with the wish list of campaign finance reformers who are almost universally on the political left...

Read the rest at Inforos.

Warren Withers will Hillary! do - I mean take - one last shot?

The syphilis is really getting to Hillary! as she is now claiming Representative Tulsi Gabbard* is a Russian agent.

We're not kidding.

The statistical whiz-kids** at the Stroock Analytic Desk believe there is a 25.9 percent chance Hillary! jumps into the race and a 68.5 percent chance she wins the nomination.

This is very plausible. The other candidates went on the warpath against Elizabeth Warren in the last debate. They may not of scalped Warren, but their arrows certainly hit and no one is in the mood to smoke the peace pipe with her. That was the worst day in the Warren family since the Trail of Tears.

This leaves Bernie, Ukraine Joe, and the big chief, with anything from 15 to 25 percent of the vote. There's no real front runner.

Chill the white wine spritzers and queue Enter Sandman becuase here comes Hillary!

*By Ganesh and Shiva, she's so cute. Ahhh….my little surfer girl.
**We do live in Chindia.

[Are you saying that Asians and Indians are naturally good at math?-Ed]

Yes. Yes I am. Have you seen the test scores?

[Touche-Ed]

Third Cough's the Charm

Back in 2000 the great Don Imus said of the Clintons, 'They are never going away.' He was right of course.

Here we are, in 2018 and the Clintons are still around. As our friend William Katz at Urgent Agenda likes to say, the Clintons have been on the national scene longer than Franklin Roosevelt.

The Spinster Dowd* attended their pathetically attended talk in Toronto and notes:

The Clintons refuse to be discarded. It has been their joint project for half a century to be at the center of the public scene and debate. The way that the whole thing came crashing down in 2016 is too hard for them to bear. They would like to rewrite the ending, but there is no way to do that.

Quite right. Chelsea lives in our old NY 19 congressional district, about 20 minutes from the Stroocks of New York State. We actually know exactly where Villa de Clinton is as cousins of ours grew up in Chappaqua. Chelsea's running. 

But so is Hillary! As it is written, Hillary! will run. These people just can't take 'no' for an answer. Just ask Juanita Broderick. A cheap joke, but true.

Hillary!'s going to try for the Dem nomination in 2020. Given the weak and crowded Dem field we here at William Stroock dot BlogSpot dot com put Hillary!'s odds at 50/50.

Can't these people just move on? As the great Tucker Carlson asked, why do they seem so unhappy? Why can't Hillary! She's already an American icon. Why can't Hillary! just go back to Chappaqua and sleep on her pile of money, put on a Hallmark movie, pop open a bottle of chardonnay and enjoy life?

To ask the question is to answer it.

As the Spinster Dowd relates:

Nothing they have done lately suggests that they have learned anything, including their obtuse post-#MeToo comments about Monica Lewinsky, who has been far more candid and sympathetic in the 20th anniversary retellings of the impeachment saga. The Clintons are still unable to hold themselves accountable. The formerly golden couple who dominated their party for nearly three decades is traveling North America in a bubble, shockingly un-self-aware.

Trump will annihilate her.

*I intend to give her books to my girls, so they learn precisely how not to be a childless spinster, wrinkled and alone.

Hillary! 2020

As we have said before, Hillary! is prepping a run for 2020. Via St. Breitbart of LA:

Are you sick of Republicans? Or just right-wingers in general? Do you want to send a message to Washington that you aren’t going to buy into their racist, sexist, xenophobic, homophobic and classist nonsense for one second longer?
Then do the very thing that Donald Trump unintentionally encouraged in a recent tweet: Encourage Hillary Clinton to run for president in 2020!

Remember, we predicted the Quisach Trumperach's victory last year, so when we tell you Hillary! is running in 2020, it's because Hillary! is running in 2020.

Always trust content from William Stroock.

This is why the Obama Wing of the Democrat Party, led by Donna Brazille are scrambling to spike Hillary! now. On this the Obamanistas and Bernie Bros can agree.

Let's go back and re-quote that article, 'racist, sexist, xenophobic, homophobic and classist'...Xhe just has to get in xhe's digs. That's the rhetoric that will win back PA, xhe just know's it.

Which is why Trump has 7 more years.

However, we stand by our prediction that Hilary! will be dead before  2020. Either from the syphilis she contracted from sex-addict Bill or the Parkinson's. Either or.

1947-2019?

Hillary's Baaaaaack....

Well Hillary! has a new book out, What Happened.

We wonder who wrote it for her.

Jesus, you know the publisher didn't come up with that title. What Happened is so stupid and pointless, Hillary! must have insisted it be used.

What happened? Hillary! is a bad candidate and a bad person, that's what happened.

Okay, okay...We think this article from the decadent and depraved NBC News is a pretty decent summation of what actually happened:

At 12:37 p.m. ET on Friday, Oct. 28 — with 12 days left in the election — the campaign blasted out an advisory to reporters announcing that the former secretary of state would be campaigning in reliably Republican Arizona, a move that suggested her team was gunning to compete in states well beyond the battlegrounds they needed for victory against GOP nominee Donald Trump. 

They had every right to be confident.

No they didn't. We'll come back to that.

You see, as we noted last fall, Hillary! was not trying to win votes but manage the news. The article actually says so:

Even the Clinton camp’s Arizona announcement that Friday was more about running out the clock — by giving a hungry press corps something to cover — than a genuine effort to run up the score, according to multiple Clinton campaign officials interviewed for this article.

Gee, just like we said last autumn. Had Hillary actually gone to Wisconsin...

So, why didn't Hillary! have every right to be confident? The polls were all over the place. CNN had Trump down five while the LA Times had Trump up five. Talk about instability.

You don't take the weekends off, as Hillary! did. Heck, W. eased back during the last week of the 2000 campaign and it nearly cost him the race.

We noted last fall that Hillary!'s rallies seemed like a Protestant wake while Trump's rallies felt like a rock concert. Forget the gender gap,  (Trump won the white women's vote), it was the enthusiasm gap that mattered.

Simon & Schuster sucks

WHY I"M INDY: Simon & Schuster writes. “Now free from the constraints of running, Hillary takes you inside the intense personal experience of becoming the first woman nominated for president by a major party in an election marked by rage, sexism, exhilarating highs and infuriating lows, stranger-than-fiction twists, Russian interference, and an opponent who broke all the rules." A publishing house wrote that horrible, run on, cliche filled sentence.

Now remember, S&S is one of the big five publishers. They are the big cheese, the head honcho, numero uno, el jeffe grande, the big enchilada....And the cancelled their 10 million dollar book deal with Saint Milo the Fabulous.

Milo moved a hundred thousand books on the first day. At ten bucks a pop he took home $700, 000, American.

Instead S&S has a book deal with Hillary!

I guess it will do well, if no other reason then out of morbid fascination. How bad could it be? That is the question.

If S&S is writing sentences like the above, can they really fix Hillary!'s work, whatever she turns in?

In Which the Traitor Michael Moore is Right

Over at Hot Air, David Axlerod, who knows a few things about winning elections, lays it down on Hillary!

It's everyone's fault but Hillary!'s, of course.

Hillary lost because she's a bad candidate and a bad person with bad ideas. That's it.

There's also something else, though, that factors into the bad candidate idea. Wunderid campaign manager, Robbie Mook, now if that isn't the name of a sex criminal I don't know what is, was obsessed with data rather than polls.

That is he eschewed telephone polls in favor of big data mining indicating what was happening. Campaign polls are expensive but they tell you a lot. It's almost like the wunderkid thought he had re-invented politics. That is a yuuuge mistake. No one reinvents politics. They're the same, everywhere, throughout time.

Michael Moore (he's transitioning, right?) made a great point here about 3:45:

Moore's point is that those red ball caps are a yuuge part of Trumps ground game. The two urban hipster d-bags with Moore just don't get it. And they won't, ever.

Hillary! wasn't trying to get votes. She was trying to shape a narrative. That's why she was ignored Michigan and Wisconsin, and that's why she lost.

Saving Private Abedin

Huma Abedin, Hillary!'s young lesbian concubine, is about to suffer the fate of all those no longer of use to the Clintons. She should ask Lani Guinier, Joycelyn Elders, Webb Hubbel, Bill Richardson and host of others what happens next.

Huma is about to be cast out into the wasteland by the coldest, most heartless, reptilian, ice-villain to ever slither out from under the rocks.

To be sure we are talking about a Saudi raised and trained of somewhat limited talents. Huma knows all the right people, in this case the Clintons, but they no longer want to know Huma.

Despite never holding a real job, and never having to make her own way, Huma does have options or option I should say.

Huma should run for her husband's old congressional seat.

Think about it. For starters she's got the Islamist vote sown up. She'll also has the self loathing Jew vote locked away. The careerist gals of her district will looooove this.

Think of the media bio: put upon, wronged woman runs for office. How many of the harpies reading the teleprompter at WCBS, WNBC and WABC have the same bio? I bet its most of them. The press is going to looooove this story. It writes itself, no? Lord knows these people can't do any writing themselves.

She'll win.

From there the options just open up. Independent congressmuslim. Permanent seat in Congress held as personal property ala Adam Clayton Powell or Charles Rangel or stepping stone to higher office. Two branches there, either mayor of NYC (oh there's a story) or US Senate. The later is a race to see who can get in position to replace Chuck Schummer, our own Huma or Web Hubell's daughter Chelsea.

Yes, your humble writer will just looooove that!

So go for it Huma. You know all the right people in NYC and the Muslim Brotherhood. I'll support you.

I'm Huma Abedin and I approved this message!

Wednesday Q&A With Will Stroock

Post Election Trump Edition

Q: How did you get the election so right?
WTS: I payed attention.

Q: Are you always right about elections?
WTS: Generally speaking, yes I am always right about elections. But I blew it big time in 2012.

Q: Are you a member of the Alt-Right?
WTS: No.

Q: What is the Alt-Right?
WTS I have no idea.

Q: C'mon.
WTS: I guess one could say its a lose amalgam of old time conservatives, Buchananites, Perotistas and some of the new Red Pill, Gamer-Gate types. See Milo, Vox Day, Mike Cernovitch.

Q: Ok, I guess.
WTS; Right.

Q: If you aren't in the Alt-right, what are you in?
WTS: The international Neo-Con conspiracy.

Q: What the hell is that?
WTS: We're the ones who subscribe(d) to the Weekly Standard. We have all these neat policy ideas. Also we supported invading Iraq as the first step toward winning the war on terror. Also we support Israel.

Q: Have you changed your mind on any of this?
WTS: Absolutely not.

Q: Iraq?
WTS: What, you think the world is better with Saddam Hussein in it?

Q: But the war, the money, the casualties.
WTS: That's war, boy.

Q: Chickenhawk.
WTS: Call me that again I'll fuck you up and cock slap your face.

Q: Really?
WTS: Try me, motherfucker. I'm 6-0 and displacing about 240 lbs. Anytime, bitch.

Q: Getting back to Neo-conservatism...
WTS: Please.

Q: Why are so many Neo-Cons Jewish?
WTS: Because of the international Jewish cabal secretly runs things. Also the Queen, the Colonel, the Gettys...

Q: No seriously.
WTS: I dunno.

Q: If you're a Neo-Con why did you support Donald Trump?
WTS: Mr. Trump is not Hillary. Also, he's our first Jewish president.

Q: What?
WTS: His mannerisms, his work life, his family, everything about him says 'How you doing Maury? Give me a bagel and a schmeer'.

Q:Wrapping up...
WTS: Thank god.

Q: Ah, yes.  What do you think Hillary is doing now?
WTS: Her Majesty? Plotting her 2020 presidential run.

Q: Seriously?
WTS: What else is she going to do?

Q: You think she can win?
WTS: She won't even get the nomination.

Q: Why not.
WTS: Pretty hard to do when your dead. Even for a Democrat.

Q: Huh?
WTS: If the Parkinson's doesn't get her, the STD will.

Q: You're a mean bastard.
WTS: I'm sorry, I thought you knew.